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Yayıncı Basic Books ( 11 / 2013 ) ISBN 9780465031658 | Ciltli | 16,51x23,62x3,05 cm. | İngilizce | 256 Sayfa | Türler Psikoloji
In this book, a leading psychologist shows how effective our intuition is for making predictions. Every day we are confronted with situations in which we must make predictions based on limited information. We tend to dismiss first impressions as prone to mistakes, but in The Tell psychologist Matthew Hertenstein argues that our ability to make predictions based on limited knowledge and intuition is surprisingly accurate and shows how we can harness it to improve the decisions and outcomes of our daily lives. Hertenstein shows that by looking for certain clues, we can accurately predict: election results - a roomful of kids can predict the outcomes of national elections in a different country based solely on candidates' photos; adult personality - leaving one-year-old children alone in a room full of toys reveals what kind of people they will become decades later; corporate success - the profits of Fortune 500 companies can be predicted by nothing more than the CEO's face; autism - the chances of your child developing autism can be predicted before he utters his first word; and, divorce - expressions in college yearbook photos reveal whether people will be happily married years later. Moreover, this ability is hard-wired via Darwinian natural selection to a large degree; our stone-age minds have developed to allow us to make predictions in a modern world. In contrast to a recent spate of books in behavioral economics and psychology showing where we falter in decision making, The Tell shows us where we succeed, and how we can do better.